14 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1494
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1564
FormLLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)