14 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1497
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrykh
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1513
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrytsenko🌟Hrytsenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (49)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.