14 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1529
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1559
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (54)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H9-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.