14 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1538
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svoboda
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1553
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.