14 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1508
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lipeiko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shyshman
ELO 1498
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.