14 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1888
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hryban
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1830
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Danyliuk covers set handicap as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H62-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-34)