14 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1480
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1517
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H33-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.