14 Jul · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1419
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Shulhachyk
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1591
FormLWWWL
33%
67%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 76% (41)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~72 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+172
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)