14 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1634
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lievshin
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Riadynskyi🌟Riadynskyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)