14 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1582
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sideltsev
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1419
FormLWWLL
67%
33%
⚡ Cover lean · Sideltsev🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 76% (41)
Fair odds · Sideltsev
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H25-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-3)