14 Jul · 06:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1696
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zeniuk
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1670
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shcherbak
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H15-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.