14 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1421
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ponomarenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)