14 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1559
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Solomko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 70% (63)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.