14 Jul · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Senk
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1610
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Senk goes over total as favourite 67% (49)
Fair odds · Senk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)