14 Jul · 13:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1488
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maksymkiv
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1476
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.