14 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1620
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volkov
AO
🇺🇦Andrii Obishchenko
ELO 1543
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H6-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)