14 Jul · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1574
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Savoliuk
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1554
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.