14 Jul · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1736
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pesternikov
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1544
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 63% (113)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H23-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)