14 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Prylepa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1421
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (83)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H48-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.