14 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1561
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ziakun
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)