14 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hasman
VK
🇺🇦Vit Kilian
ELO 1398
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)