14 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocvara
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1573
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kocvara stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.