14 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shyshman
ELO 1498
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)