14 Jul · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1620
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Volkov
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1552
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H77-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-48)