14 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1575
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stibor
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1553
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Stibor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (38)
Fair odds · Stibor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.