14 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1517
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Yakimenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1508
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Lipeiko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.