14 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1578
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1634
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (137)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H9-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)