14 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1547
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svoboda
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1553
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Rochowanski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.