14 Jul · 09:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1724
FormLWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Danyliuk
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1830
FormWLWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H109-105
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (109-105)