14 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1391
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (44)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H14-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.