15 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1485
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sharpai
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1487
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sharpai
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.