15 Jul · 13:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1447
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1553
FormLLWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)