16 Jul · 00:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ER
🇺🇦Eduard Rubtsov
ELO 1424
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kovalenko
VK
🇺🇦Viacheslav Kovalenko
ELO 1453
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H28-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.