15 Jul · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1406
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lazebny
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1493
FormLLWWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (118)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)