15 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Botka
ELO 1525
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1587
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Botka🌟Botka covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)