15 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khalenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1429
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.