15 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1577
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maltsev
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1561
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Moshovskyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (40)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H7-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.