15 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2151
FormWWWWW
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Ponomarenko
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1701
FormWLLWW
87%
13%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~69 pts
3-0
46%
3-1
27%
3-2
14%
2-3
6%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+450
H2H131-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+450)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (131-11)