15 Jul · 08:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1499
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Marushchak
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1615
FormLWLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)