15 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1427
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.