15 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1512
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Yakimenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1443
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)