15 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hlavacek
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hlavacek
ELO 1698
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Hlavacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)