15 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1522
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H72-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-39)