15 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1670
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Yurkov
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1615
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marushchak🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (109)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H72-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-45)