15 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Solomko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1526
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Ovsiienko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (51)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H8-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.