15 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1499
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1670
FormWLWWW
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shmyndra🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (109)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)