15 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1525
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rochowanski
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1556
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.