15 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rochowanski
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1556
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.