15 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1522
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurylenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1447
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)