15 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Melnik
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1507
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Melnik covers set handicap as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H9-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.